The Tampa Bay Buccaneers return nearly every starter from last season’s Super Bowl-winning roster, and with the rest of their division in flux, it seems like the 2021 NFC South odds should be even shorter for Tom Brady and company. But that means there is value to be had. The New Orleans Saints said goodbye to Drew Brees, the Atlanta Falcons said goodbye to Julio Jones, and the Carolina Panthers said goodbye to Teddy Bridgewater, all of which should widen the gap between Tampa Bay and the rest of the division. The Buccaneers are -200 to win the NFC South, and given what we just mentioned, that number seems like a steal.
Longtime Poker broadcaster and sports bettor David Tuchman is here to preview the best futures bets and 2021 NFC South odds he likes for the NFL regular season. Choosing PA online sports betting option makes watching NFC South more entertaining.
Want more info on 2021 NFL prop bets? VSiN’s Danny Burke previews some interesting head-to-head props on Rush Hour, presented by BetRivers.
2021 NFC SOUTH ODDS & FUTURES
ATLANTA FALCONS ODDS:
Win Total: 7.5 (-137/+110)
To Make Playoffs: Yes (+235), No (-305)
Division Finish: 1st (+800), 2nd (+450), 3rd (+160), 4th (+135)
NFC Championship Odds: +3000
Super Bowl Odds: +7000
The Falcons’ 2020 win total was a popular UNDER bet due to the back half of their schedule which featured the Saints, two games against the Buccaneers, and road trips to Kansas City and the Los Angeles Chargers. This season, the Falcons open with a handful of winnable games against the Eagles, Giants, Washington and Jets, with a road trip at the Buccaneers in Week 2. Atlanta could very well enter their Week 6 Bye at 4-1 or 3-2. The Falcons’ backend is not great, but not as bad as last year. Three of Atlanta’s final five games are on the road, including at San Francisco and at Buffalo. But a road game at Carolina and home games against the Lions and Drew Brees-less Saints should give the Falcons a shot at hitting OVER 7.5 wins.
CAROLINA PANTHERS ODDS:
Win Total: 7.5 wins (+100/-122)
To Make Playoffs: Yes (+235), No (-305)
Division Finish: 1st (+1100), 2nd (+500), 3rd (+160), 4th (+115)
NFC Championship Odds: +3300
Super Bowl Odds: +7500
Although Carolina boasts one of the most dynamic players in the NFL in Christian McCaffrey, the Panthers’ offense is going to hinge on what Sam Darnold is able to do under center. It’s possible we’ve criticized Darnold too much, a byproduct of being a highly prized QB draft pick by the New York Jets. He will have deep-play threats in Robby Anderson and D.J. Moore, but the Panthers are one injury away from struggling to get to five wins, let alone 7.5 wins.
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS ODDS:
Win Total: 9 wins (-105/-117)
To Make Playoffs: Yes (+114), No (-139)
Division Finish: 1st (+350), 2nd (+120), 3rd (+300), 4th (+500)
NFC Championship Odds: +1600
Super Bowl Odds: +3300
Simply put, New Orleans is a bit overrated because of their coach. At the end of the day, their best player, Michael Thomas is injured and will miss the start of the season and their QB is Taysom Hill or Jameis Winston – I’m not a believer in either. Could the Saints make the playoffs? Yes. Are they likely to? No… and I’m willing to bet on them to NOT make the playoffs at -130. Although the Saints have the second shortest odds to win the NFC South, the Panthers and Flacons both are backed by more bets,, and the three teams not named Tampa Bay are relatively even in their paltry share of the NFC South handle.
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS ODDS:
Win Total: 11.5 wins (-148/+120)
To Make Playoffs: Yes (-560), No (+400)
Division Finish: 1st (-200), 2nd (+225), 3rd (+1000), 4th (+2200)
To Have A 17-0 Record: Yes (+3300), No (-10000)
To Have A 20-0 Record: Yes (+7000)
NFC Championship Odds: +300
Super Bowl Odds: +650
The Buccaneers are the odds-on favorites to win the NFC South (-200) and NFC Championship (+300), and as you would expect, the public agrees. Over 89% of the NFC South handle and 86% of the bets are on Tampa Bay to win the division. The Bucs are also responsible for a quarter of the bets and a third of the handle to win the NFC Championship. There are three things working in Tampa Bay’s favor. First, they have Tom Brady. Second, none of their division rivals got significanty better in the offseason. In fact, the Buccaneers’ biggest threat — the Saints — said goodbye to the best quarterback to ever wear the black and gold. Finally, every starter from last year is set to return, injuries aside.
Tom Brady has thrown for over 4600 yards just five times in 21 seasons, but has done so four times in the past ten seasons. With the whole crew back from last season, we’re betting on Brady to pass for OVER 4650.5 yards.