The weekend is almost here and the NFL Week 11 odds are all over the map thanks to an injury to Drew Brees, the Packers on the road, and the Titans sliding in the wrong direction. BetRivers.com provides a wide variety of NFL Week 11 odds, props, and NFL futures for you wager on.
Rob Dauster is here to break down the NFL Week 11 odds and point out the bets that are intriguing to him. He runs through the games he likes and the teasers you should think about.
MORE: Week 11 NFL Picks
NFL WEEK 11 ODDS: Packers (7-2) at Colts (6-3). 4:25 p.m. ET
Moneyline: Colts -125, Packers +110
Spread: Colts -2
Over/Under: 51 points
Implied Score: Colts 26.5, Packers 24.5
Click here for the full list of Packers-Colts odds.
I think this is a prime buy-low spot on the Packers.
Jacksonville is very, very not good at football. I think we all know that. But the Jaguars went into Lambeau Field last week and very nearly picked off the Packers, losing 24-20 in a game that they could have won late in the fourth if, you know, they weren’t starting a rookie on the road against maybe the best team in the NFL.
The Colts, on the other hand, just went into Tennessee and whipped up on a Titans team that, frankly, we kind of saw coming here at Bet Rivers. They’re now sitting at 6-3 and in first place in the AFC South despite the fact that they just cannot run the ball and Philip Rivers is roughly 97 years old.
They win games because their defense is one of the best in the NFL, and Aaron Rodgers just so happens to be having maybe the best season of his NFL career.
Davante Adams is back and healthy. Aaron Jones is back and healthy. And I do expect that Green Bay will find a way to win this game.
Their money line, currently, is sitting at (+110). That seems tasty.
NFL WEEK 11 ODDS: Titans (6-3) at Ravens (6-3). 1 p.m. ET
Moneyline: Ravens -230, Titans +195
Spread: Ravens -5
Over/Under: 49.5 points
Implied Score: Ravens 27.75, Titans 21.25
Click here for the full list of Titans-Ravens odds.
This is pretty simple to me. Road dogs that are coming off of a loss tend to be undervalued in the market.
That’s precisely what Tennessee is here.
They were worked over pretty good by the Colts on Thursday Night Football last week, but they have now had ten days to figure out their issues, their secondary is getting healthy — and stronger with the addition of Desmond King — and they are going up against a Lamar Jackson that is just not as good as he was last season.
And hey, if anyone is going to be able to find a way to run all over this Raven defense, it’s going to be Derrick Henry.
NFL WEEK 11 ODDS: Falcons (3-6) at Saints (7-2) 1 p.m. ET
Moneyline: Saints -177, Falcons +155
Spread: Saints -3.5
Over/Under: 50 points
Implied Score: Saints 27.75, Falcons 22.75
Click here for the full list of Falcons-Saints odds.
Can someone explain to me how the Saints are still five-point favorites against the Falcons despite the fact that they are going to be starting either Jameis Winston or Taysom Hill at quarterback?
We do realize that the Falcons are 3-1 since changing head coaches, right? We are aware of the fact that Atlanta is coming off of a buy, which should allow Calvin Ridley to be healthy enough to pay on Sunday?
Did anyone let the oddsmakers know that Atlanta’s run defense has actually been pretty good, and that they have a reputation for being able to contain Alvin Kamara?
I love making Falcons jokes as much as anyone else, but this line just does not make sense to me. I’ll take the Falcons all the way down to (+3.5), especially if we find out that Taysom Hill is going to be involved anymore than he usually is.
UPDATE: As of Friday afternoon, Taysom Hill is expected to take a majority of the snaps for New Orleans and as such, the line has moved to Saints -3.5.
NFL WEEK 11 ODDS: Don’t Tease Me, Bro.
As always, when you are teasing, try to make sure that you are going through at least two key numbers, and ideally 3 and 7.
CHARGERS (-2.5): This one is simple: I want to back the Chargers to beat the Jets — who are a tirefire — by more than a field goal. What other analysis do you need? They’re the Jets and Justin Herbert has been good.
VIKINGS (-1.5): Again, this is pretty simple: We are fading the Cowboys and better on Minnesota, who has been playing much better of late, to find a way to win by more than a point at home. I think they get it done.
BRONCOS (+9.5): I know that this technically doesn’t get through two key numbers, but we can pretend that six and seven are key numbers, but if you are looking for a third leg to your teaser, this makes a lot of sense to me.
The Dolphins are heading on the road to play in one of the only stadiums that still has some appeal for home-field advantage — it’s cold as hell and a South Florida team is playing at altitude — while simultaneously being the lowest-totaled game of the week, where our tease gets the most value.
MORE: How to Bet on Football