For the third time this season, fans and sports bettors are treated to a double dose of Monday night money and the Monday Night Football Week 6 odds are live on BetRivers.com.
Rob Dauster is here to break down the Monday Night Football Week 6 odds, and tries t figure out how good the Cowboys are going to be without Dak Prescott. Is it time to worry about that Josh Allen MVP futures bet? There is a lot to get to.
- Lamb and Hopkins combine for Over 199.5 Rec. Yds & Over. 1.5 TDs (+650)
- Over 124.5 total points in Chiefs-Bills & Cardinals-Cowboys (+500)
- Edwards-Helaire 75+ Rush Yds, Kelce 75+ Rec. Yds, each score 1+ TD (+450)
- Dalton 275+ Pass Yds, 2 Pass TDs & Cowboys win (+400)
- Chiefs and Cowboys each win by 4.5+ points (+375)
- Any three score TD: Cooper, Hopkins, Fitgerald, Gallup, Lamb (+275)
- Over 1.5 total QB rushing TDs in Chiefs-Bills & Cardinals Cowboys (+200)
- Mahomes and Murray throw Over 5.5 total TD passes (+150)
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL WEEK 6: Chiefs-Bills Week 6 Odds
- Week 6: 5:00 p.m. ET (FOX)
- Moneyline: Chiefs -240, Bills +205
- Spread: Chiefs -5.5
- Over/Under: 55 points
- Implied Score: Chiefs 30.5, Bills 25
Click here for a full list of Chiefs-Bills Week 6 Odds
Both the Chiefs and the Bills are coming off of their first loss of the season last week. Kansas City lost a game to Oakland at home, while the Bills got absolutely drubbed by Tennessee on Tuesday.
There are a couple of things to note about this. For starters, the way the schedule shakes out gives Andy Reid an extra day to prepare and two more days of prep than Sean McDermott will have. Historically, this has been the dream scenario for bettors, particularly when Reid is coaching on the road and in primetime. Should I mention that Patrick Mahomes is 20-13-1 against the spread as a favorite in his young career?
Then there is the matchup itself. Kansas City has the No. 2 offense DVOA. They have arguably the best player in the league at three positions: quarterback, wide receiver, and tight end. Buffalo dropped to No. 28 in DVOA defensively after the loss to Tennessee (but before Sunday’s action), and they’ve been particularly bad at defending No. 1 receivers and tight ends.
That would be defined as a “yikes.”
If there is an advantage for Buffalo here, it’s that they are capable of running the ball, especially Josh Allen. He’s the new Lamar Jackson. As we’ve discussed in this space ad nauseum, the way to cover against the Chiefs is to control the clock, establish the run and make Mahomes a spectator. Buffalo, in theory, is capable of doing that.
But I want to be on the Chiefs here, and I’ll be on them at anything under (-7). The deciding factor? The Chiefs are lethal against the blitz, and the Bills (according to PFF) blitz on more than 40 percent of their defensive snaps. Combine all of this with the fact that Buffalo’s home-field advantage doesn’t exist in 2020, and rolling with the Chiefs in a bounceback spot is the play.
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL WEEK 6: Cardinals-Cowboys Week 6 Odds
- Week 6: 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN)
- Moneyline: Cowboys -114, Cardinals +100
- Spread: Cowboys -1
- Over/Under: 55.5 points
- Implied Score: Cowboys 28, Cardinals 26.5
Click here for a full list of Week 6 Cardinals-Cowboys Odds
It’s tough to know who, exactly, the Cowboys are now that Dak Prescott is done for the season.
My guess is that they will still be pretty good. Andy Dalton is nowhere near the quarterback that Dak is, but he still qualifies as one of the better backup quarterbacks in the NFL. He spent nearly a decade starting for the Bengals. He’s not going to be overwhelmed or inexperienced.
But he’s also not going to be setting records like Dak was on pace to do. I think the line in this game reflects that. The Cowboys are favored by less than a field goal at home. That says that the oddsmakers believe the Cardinals are the better football team.
That said, Dallas is still projected to score 28 points. If they are going to hit that number, it’s going to be because Zeke had a big day. Right now, his rushing yards prop sits at 89.5 yards. I’ll be on that over. He’s (-335) to score a touchdown, but he’s (+450) to score the first touchdown, which is a number that is not too bad.
So I’ll be on Zeke’s rushing props tonight. I’m staying away from any lines or totals in this game.