Wisconsin has been a team that has been tough to peg all season long, but the Wisconsin-Purdue betting odds are easily the strangest odds that we have seen for the Badgers all season long.
Purdue is coming off of their biggest win in who knows how long. The Boilermakers went into Iowa City last week and beat the brakes off of an Iowa team that was sitting at No. 2 in the country. It was a long time coming for the Hawkeyes, who were quite clearly overrated at No. 2, but that doesn’t changed the fact that beating a good team on the road in dominant fashion is a statement.
The Badgers, on the other hand, are coming off of a week where they landed their second straight win … at home … against Army … by six points. That’s not exactly the kind of domineering performance that you would expect out of a roster that was predicted to be a top 20 team back in the preseason.
So where do you want to invest in this matchup?
Should we back the Badgers to figure things out this week?
Longtime college sports writer Rob Dauster, the co-founder of The Field of 68 and The Field of 12 Network is here to break down the tantalizing matchup and provide the Virginia Tech-Pittsburgh betting odds for Week 7 of the college football season.
Until then, as a NCAA fan, you can check NFL betting odds and get ready to place a bet at BetRivers.
WEEK 8 BETTING ODDS:
WISCONSIN-PURDUE BETTING ODDS:
WISCONSIN (3-3) at No. 25 PURDUE (4-2)
GAME: 3:00 p.m. ET (BTN)
MONEYLINE: Wisconsin (-177), Purdue (+138)
SPREAD: Pittsburgh (-3)
If the intro wasn’t crystal clear enough, there is no chance in hell that I am going to be putting any of my hard-earned dollars on Wisconsin as a road favorite. It doesn’t matter the opponent right now. That’s just not something that I am willing to do.
In their last 15 games played as a favorite, Wisconsin is 5-9-1 against the spread, and they lost seven of those 15 games. That’s telling, and it’s a trend that I will be expecting to continue, as my money will be on the Purdue ML at (+138).
But that’s not the only interesting bet that I see here.
I also really like the under, and I know that total is low already.
Look, the Badger offense is a mess. Their passing game is non-existent. They can move the ball on the ground, but there is only so effective that a rushing attack can be when there is no threat through the air to keep a defense honest, and the Badgers are a ground game that churns clock and creates long, slow drives. They are going to have quite a bit of possession in this one.
On the flip side, while David Bell looked like an All-Pro last Saturday, the Boilers scored all of 13 points in each of their previous three games. They exploded against an Iowa team that was due for an off-day. That has been the exception this season, not the norm, and I expect them to regress closer to the mean on Saturday.
It’s easy to peg this as a letdown game. Seeing the line move from Wisconsin (-2.5) to (-3) is a clear example of that. But I’m willing to fade the steam there, just like I’m willing to fade the steam on the total.
Expect a low scoring, ugly football game, and bank on a Purdue win. Boiler Up.