We’ve crossed over the halfway point in the 2020 NFL season, and with the Week 9 NFL odds live on BetRivers.com, it’s time to dive into the lines, spreads, and trends that will help you win big this weekend.
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Rob Dauster is here to break down the Week 9 NFL odds and point out the bets that are intriguing to him. He runs through the games he likes and the teasers you should think about.
MORE: Week 9 NFL Picks
WEEK 9 NFL ODDS: WEEKEND PREVIEW
Bears (5-3) at Titans (5-2). 1:00 p.m. ET
Moneyline: Titans -275, Bears +235
Spread: Titans -6
Over/Under: 46.5 points
Implied Score: Titans 26.5, Bears 20.5
Click here for the full list of Bears-Titans odds.
The Titans had a chance to keep sole possession of first place in the AFC South last weekend when they took on the hapless Cincinnati Bengals, and despite the fact that they were facing a rookie quarterback playing behind a line that included four backups on a day with 20 mph winds that gusted to 40 mph, the Titans could do absolutely nothing to slow down the Bengals offense.
That makes me bullish on the Bears.
I think we can all agree that Nick Foles’ shine has all but worn off. He’s played like a dad that put on 15 pounds because he spent all of quarantine trapped in his house watching his kids all day. But apparently, that doesn’t matter against the Titans, who have the worst pass rush in the NFL. Jadeveon Clowney has not exactly worked out.
So I do think that there is quite a bit of value on the Bears at (+6).
That said, I also tend to think that there is value on the over at 46.5 as well. Ryan Tannehill has some weapons at receiver, and pesky things like “defensive players” haven’t seemed to bother Derrick Henry much this season, so I do think that the Titans will be able to score some points.
So if Tennessee can score, and they can’t stop teams even if they are bad offensively, then what does that tell us?
Bet the over.
The process never fails.
Panthers (3-6) at Chiefs (7-1). 1:00 p.m. ET
Moneyline: Chiefs -530, Panthers +430
Spread: Chiefs -10.5
Implied Score: Chiefs 31.5, Panthers 21
Click here for the full list of Panthers-Chiefs odds.
Over at the Action Network, Matthew Freedman made a point about this game that became impossible for me to ignore: Road dogs that are coming off of a loss are 762-672-39 against the spread, good for a 3.4% ROI over a sample of nearly 1500 games while home favorites coming off of a win are posting a -2.9% ROI.
That’s a huge sample.
And that’s a return that beats the books.
Combine that with the fact that, as a starting quarterback, Teddy Bridgewater is 31-11 against the spread and the fact that there is no real home-field advantage in the COVID era, and getting the Panthers plus 10.5 seems like good value. The process! Or something.
WEEK 9 NFL ODDS: DON’T TEASE ME, BRO!
There are quite a few interesting teaser spots this week. The Texans on the road at the Jags, the Packers at San Francisco, the Colts at home against the Ravers, the Titans at home against the Bears, the Patriots at the Jets.
For my money, these are the three that I like the most:
- Patriots (-1): The Pats may not be the Pats of old, but Bill Belichick is not losing to Adam Gase. He’s just not. I don’t need to analyze this anymore than that. It’s Adam Gase!
- Colts (+8.5): The Colts have a sneaky good defense, and they will be playing at home. Plus, Philip Rivers throwing a pick as he’s driving to try and tie the game in the final minutes will ensure you cover the 8.5 points.
- Texans (-0.5): The Jaguars are not good. The Texans may not be either, but all you need here is a win. They can win in Jacksonville.
This teaser pays out at (+126).
MORE: How to Bet on Football