NFL Week 7 Odds Recap: What we got right, what we got wrong
With the weekend wrapping up, it’s time to look back at the Week 7 NFL odds recap and take stock of what bets we were right to follow and what bets led us astray. With six of 14 Week 7 games being decided by three or fewer points, there’s a good chance we were on the right track. Start NFL betting now with us and win!
David Tuchman is here to analyze the NFL Week 7 odds recap and the bets he picked.
We had another winning week by going 4-2-1 although it felt like it really could have (and should’ve been better).
NFL Week 7 Odds Recap: What We Got Right
1. Thursday night, we were on the Giants +5 at Philadelphia. The Eagles rallied from 11 down in the fourth quarter to survive with a much-needed victory, 22-21. If you missed that pick, make sure to catch me on Thursday evening/afternoons on 105.7 The Fan in Indianapolis.
After the @hammerandnigel Show ends at 7, I’ll be jumping on @1075thefan to host “You Bet with @BetRivers” from 7-8. Guests include @TuckonSports & @TheCashManWins. pic.twitter.com/zqbbLtuwcN
— Jason Hammer (@jasonalanhammer) October 22, 2020
Hammer and I talk football and I give a few updated picks based on line movements, including my Thursday night pick (If I have one)
Philadelphia just isn’t good enough to give anyone more than a Field Goal these days. Add to that, the divisional rivalry thing and Giants +5 felt good. If I were really smart, I’d have thrown a few dollars on the Giants in-game when they were down 10-0. Betrivers.com has some of the best LIVE in-game software in the industry.
2. We were on Packers – 3.5 at Houston. Aaron Rodgers isn’t bad two games in a row and Houston’s pass defense was/is hopeless. Rodgers tossed four TD passes and even without Aaron Jones, Green Bay ran for 96 yards and one rushing TD.
3. We were on Buccaneers -2.5 at Las Vegas early in the week and bet even more on the Buccaneers at -4 later in the week. Despite, Derek Carr playing better than most expected in 2020, this just felt like a mismatch. The Buccaneers are a better team than Oakland in nearly every facet of the game. Things got a bit dicey in the third quarter, but the Bucs scored 21 points in the fourth quarter and wrapped things up with time to spare.
4. We teased the Titans from +2 to +8 vs. Pittsburgh and the Lions from +2.5 to +8.5 at Atlanta. I’m a huge fan of teasing dogs through the 3 and 7 so anytime I can do that, I’m going to at least consider it. We got pretty lucky that Tennessee made a furious comeback in this one and gave us the win. My takeaways? Pittsburgh’s defense is legit. I’ve underrated them throughout this season and I need to stop making that mistake.
Atlanta finds ways to lose each week. If you can bet against them and get more than a touchdown, that can’t be a bad thing.
NFL Week 7 Odds Recap: What We Got Wrong
1. We drew on the Steelers-Titans total (51) which felt pretty dirty. The final was 27-24 and a bad red zone interception from Ben Roethlisberger, coupled with a Stephen Gostkowski FG miss cost us some money. It still feels like we were on the right side on this one, but sometimes the outcome doesn’t cooperate. Then again, I need to start respecting Pittsburgh’s defense.
2. Betting on the Bills -13 at New York Jets proved to be costly. The Jets are exactly what I thought they were. I mean, they mustered just four total yards of offense in the second half. How is that even possible?
Regardless, Buffalo’s offense couldn’t do anything more than kick FGs and FGs and more FGs… if you had Tyler Bass on your fantasy team, you’re thrilled. If you bet on Buffalo -13 or -9.5, which is where the line closed, you were less than thrilled. Buffalo’s offense isn’t clicking on all cylinders and Josh Allen is far too inconsistent to comfortably give more than a Touchdown in almost any game.
3. And lastly, we bet against rookie QB, Justin Herbert, taking Jaguars +7.5 at Los Angeles Chargers. We incorrectly thought 7.5 points was too much. I thought Minshew and the Jaguars would be able to move the ball and they did. James Robinson was fantastic and the Jags put up 29 points which, if you had told me beforehand, I’d have been ecstatic.
Betting against rookie QBs is usually a pretty smart move, but Herbert is making me eat my words and worse, making my wallet much thinner. While he’s certainly not the complete package yet, he’s athletic and accurate enough to put up points.
So, we jumped back on the horse in week 6. After two weeks, we’re a respectable 8-5-1