Tuck’s Take: NFL Week 14 Odds, Predictions and Preview
The NFL Week 14 odds are up at BetRivers.com and with the regular season as most over, teams are making the final push for playoffs and others are already looking toward next season.
Longtime broadcaster and gambling expert David Tuchman is here every week to preview the NFL Week 14 odds and break down the picks he is thinking about.
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NFL WEEK 14ODDS: TUCK’S TAKE
Titans (8-4) at Jaguars (1-11), 1 p.m. ET
MONEYLINE: Titans -335, Jaguars +280
SPREAD: Titans -7
OVER/UNDER: 52 points
Click here for full list of Titans-Jaguars odds.
Regency bias alive and well. We’ve been making a ton of money on Jacksonville lately as they’ve been playing everyone tough.
The Jaguars have covered two in a row and four of five.
This line opened at 9.5 and is currently 7.5. While it hasn’t crossed over a pivotal number, two points is still significant especially considering the charts suggest Tennessee would be a 12 point favorite on a neutral field.
Tennessee’s lack of a pass rush remains a major problem. One of the highest totals on the Sunday slate, there’s little doubt, Mike Glennon and the Jaguars will be able to move the ball.
On the other side, Jacksonville has major defensive deficiencies. Ryan Tannehill might be limited simply because I think Derrick Henry is going to eat. Regardless, Tennessee is going to score and score and score.
This game will come down to turnovers and I have a lot more faith in Tannehlll than I do Glennon.
At first glance, this is a game where everyone jumps on Jacksonville and the points. I’m here telling you, this is an overreaction to what we’ve seen recently.
The Titans win this one going away. Use the alternative lines at BetRivers.com to buy yourself a half a point. The Pick: Tennessee -7 (-117).
In addition, we’re betting on Derrick Henry OVER 107.5 rushing yards. In Henry’s 2nd game vs Jacksonville each of the last two years, these are his stats.
- 17 carries for 238 yards and four touchdowns
- 19 carries for 159 yards and two touchdowns
While this is not indicative of anything, keep in mind, The Jaguars defense is probably worse than it was last year and two years ago.
Also, Henry is coming off a 15-carry, 60-yard game last week. The last time he was held under 61 yards, he rushed for over 200 yards the next week.
Falcons (4-8) at Chargers (3-9), 4:25 p.m. ET
MONEYLINE: Chargers -117, Falcons +104
SPREAD: Chargers -1
OVER/UNDER: 49 points
Click here for the full list of Falcons-Chargers odds.
On a neutral field, the Falcons are about 5 points better than the Chargers so on the road, giving 2 points certainly makes sense IF (and this is a big IF), home field means anything in 2020.
Atlanta is still flying across the country so the home field is a factor, but from what we’ve seen this season, home-field appears to be worth closer to 1.5 points as opposed to the traditional 3. Keep in mind, there will be NO fans in the stadium cheering on the home team Chargers.
On one side of the coin, I’m loathed to bet against LA the week after they got thrashed by New England, but when I look closer at the coin, I realize the Chargers coaching staff is still intact and unless they learned a lot over the past week, I give Atlanta a huge edge here.
Anything under a field goal is an early Christmas gift.
Falcons -2 is under the tree. Go ahead, open it. The Pick: Falcons -2.