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Kickoff for the 2020 NFC Championship Game is set for 3:05 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 24 at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin.
Longtime broadcaster and gambling expert David Tuchman breaks down the Packers-Buccaneers playoff odds and analyzes the picks he thinks are worth a wager.
#1 Green Bay Packers (13-3) vs. #5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (11-5)
MONEYLINE: Packers -180, Buccaneers +155
SPREAD: Packers -3.5
OVER/UNDER: 51.5 points
Click here for the full list of Packers-Buccaneers Playoff Odds.
Packers-Buccaneers Playoff Odds: Betting Trends
Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers meet in the postseason for the very first time when the Packers host the Buccaneers in the NFC Championship Game on Sunday afternoon. Green Bay, responsible for 28.7% of NFC Championship futures bets, have covered and hit the over in three straight games while the Buccaneers — the second most wagered-on team in NFC Championship futures bets with 19.7% — is 3-2 ATS and 3-2 O/U in its last five.
The two teams met in Week 6 with the Buccaneers defeating the Packers 38-10 in Tampa Bay. But with the conference championship game taking place in frigid Green Bay, the public is backing the Packers ML with 68% of the ML handle and 78% of the spread handle. Bettors have made the Packers spread the most wagered-on bet of the weekend with more than three times the handle of the second-most wagered-on bet of championship weekend. Bettors are also currently on Over 51.5 with 71% of the O/U handle.
Packers-Buccaneers Playoff Odds: Tuck’s Take
The AFC championship game is a battle of two of the best young QBs in the league, while the NFC could be our last look at two of the best to ever play the game battling against one another. Brady vs Rodgers is a can’t-miss game so why not make it even more exciting by betting on it.
Like the AFC championship game, this one is difficult to find a big edge.
The last time these two played, Green Bay came in undefeated but came out beaten and bruised. Tampa won that game 38-10 in what was Rodgers’ worst game of the season. The Buccaneers blitzed relentlessly and surprisingly Green Bay had no answer. Rodgers has been one of the best QBs in the league when facing the blitz throughout his career, so I find it hard to believe he won’t be ready this time.
On the other side of the field, we have arguably the greatest QB to ever play the game in Tom Brady. and even at 43 years old, he’s playing at an extremely high level. Over Brady’s last six games, he has 16 touchdown passes and just one interception. He won’t have Antonio Brown this week, who was ruled out with an injury on Friday, but that has little to no effect on the line.
The weather could be a factor, but keep in mind, Brady played his entire career in New England. He’s no stranger to playing in harsh weather.
When it comes down to it, there isn’t a ton of value here, but once again it’s the NFC conference championship game so you can bet your ass, I’ll be betting on this one.
More cash, more tickets on Green Bay -3, on Green Bay ML and on OVER 51.5, but once again we’ll be contrarian.
My money is Buccaneers +3.5.
My prediction is Packers 26-24.
While I don’t love this bet, I do LOVE (yes, it deserves capital letters) this prop bet.
Leonard Fournette is coming off back-to-back productive games and as I mentioned last week, Green Bay’s defense struggles mightily when trying to contain opposing RBs. Per PFF, The Packers allowed the most yards and the third-highest yards per target (7.2) to running backs in the passing game this season.
Fournette is a big man and there’s a stereotype that big guys plow through the line while the little guys can catch the ball. First off, that is emphatically false and when it comes to Fournette, he’s actually quite a good receiver out of the backfield.
Fournette has had 39 and 44 receiving yards the last two weeks against teams far better at stopping RBs than Green Bay is. Couple this with Antonio Brown sitting out and maybe Fournette gets an extra target or two.
Leonard Fournette OVER 22.5 receiving yards is the play.
Packers-Buccaneers Playoff Odds: How To Watch
When is the Packers-Buccaneers NFC Championship Game?
The Packers-Buccaneers NFC Championship Game takes place on Sunday, January 24. Kickoff is set for 3:05 p.m. ET at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin.
How can I watch the Packers-Buccaneers NFC Championship Game on TV?
The Packers-Buccaneers NFC Championship Game will be broadcast on FOX at 3:05 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 24. Additionally, the Packers-Buccaneers NFC Championship Game is available for live streaming on the FOX Sports GO app.