Monday Night Football: Bears-Vikings Week 10 odds, prediction, analysis
Monday Night Football is here, and the NFC North is in the spotlight with Bears-Vikings Week 10 odds live at BetRivers.com.
The Week 10 finale features two teams headed in opposite directions as the Bears (+3, +155 ML) losers of three straight, host the Vikings (-177 ML) winners of two straight. The public was split early in the week, but late money continues to back the Bears to win (75% of ML handle) and cover (57% of spread handle). Speaking of late money, as the O/U dropped from 45 to 43.5, the money moved in favor of the over, with 63% of the O/U handle as on Monday morning, up from 33% on Friday morning.
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Rob Dauster is here to break down the Bears-Vikings Week 10 odds and while he doesn’t expect it to be the best display of offensive football we’ve ever seen, it is a great value-play for those trying to collect some early week wins.
Monday BetRivers.com Specials
- Either team records Defensive or Special Teams TD (+275)
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL: Bears-Vikings Week 10 Odds
- Week 10: Bears vs. Vikings, 8:20 p.m ET (ESPN)
- Moneyline: Vikings -186, Bears +160
- Spread: Vikings -3.5
- Over/Under: 43.5 points
- Implied Score: Bears 23.25, Vikings 20.25
Click here for a full list of Bears-Vikings Week 10 odds.
I love this matchup for the Bears, who have won 15 of their last 18 games at home against the Vikings.
There are a couple of reasons for it. One is that Matt Nagy has given up play-calling duties, allowing Bill Lazor to take over the offense which, hopefully, will mean that we won’t see Nick Foles being used like he’s Aaron Rodgers. Minnesota’s defense has gotten better as the season has moved along, but this is hardly the Vikings defense that we got used to seeing in recent years. They can be beaten, both on the ground and by No. 1 receivers, and getting Cody Whitehair back should only help.
But that’s only half of the conversation here.
Chicago’s defense vs. Minnesota’s offense is a strength vs. strength battle worthy of a Monday night tilt between two NFC North opponents. The Vikings rank 7th in DVOA offensively. The Bears ranks 4th in DVOA defensively. But what really stands out to me is the fact that the Bears have one of the best run defenses in the NFL and just held Derrick Henry to 68 yards on 21 carries.
This matters because Dalvin Cook has looked like Barry Sanders in his prime over the last two weeks. But when you look further, there is some evidence that Cook has been a flat track bully, a ball-carrier that chews up and spits out yards against bad defenses. According to Chris Raybon of The Action Network, Cook is averaging 64 yards on 4.1 YPC in two games against defenses ranked in the top 15 of DVOA. He’s averaging 146 yards and 6.5 YPC with ten touchdowns in five games against defenses ranked outside the top 15.
Put all of that together with the fact that the Bears, as of this writing, are (+3) with odds at (+100), and it’s really hard for me to go away from them, regardless of how both of these teams are trending.
I’m also thoroughly interested in betting Dalvin Cook’s rushing prop — under 86.5 yards is priced at (-112).