Monday Night Football is here, and it’s time to run through the Buccaneers-Giants Week 8 odds on a chilly night in East Rutherford, NJ. The Buccaneers are favored by 12.5 points, the fourth largest spread of the 2020 season. For the Giants, Week 8 marks the third time they’ve been underdogs of more than a touchdown. But despite their 1-6 record, the Giants are 4-3 O/U and 4-2-1 ATS. The Buccaneers are 5-2 overall, 4-3 O/U and 4-3 ATS.
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Rob Dauster is here to break down the Buccaneers-Giants Week 8 odds, and gives his thoughts on whether or not the Giants can put up enough fight to even think about fading the public.
- Rob Gronkowski & Mike Evans record 50+ Rec. YDs each (+285)
- Daniel Jones throws more Pass TDs than Tom Brady (+230)
- Giants +14.5pts & Under 4.5 total game TDs (+220)
- Two of three score TD: Leonard Fournette, Darius Slayton, Ronald Jones (+200)
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL: Buccaneers-Giants Week 8 Odds
- Week 8: Buccaneers at Giants, 8:20 p.m ET (ESPN)
- Moneyline: Buccaneers -670, Giants +510
- Spread: Buccaneers -12.5
- Over/Under: 45.5 points
- Implied Score: Buccaneers 29, Giants 16.5
Click here for a full list of Buccaneers-Giants Week 8 odds.
The Giants are bad. Everything about their offense is bad. They are the worst pass-blocking team in the NFL, according to Pro Football Focus. They are the 27th-best run-blocking team in the NFL. They’ve allowed pressure on more than 43 percent of Daniel Jones’ dropbacks this season, and they are the 30th-ranked passing offense in the NFL.
Should I mention that they are going to be without a starting guard, replaced by a fifth-round rookie that has played two snaps this year, because of COVID?
This is a problem because Tampa Bay is a juggernaut defensively. They’re the best defense in the NFL based on whatever metric it is that you choose to use. Their front seven is just terrifying. Ndamukong Suh, JPP, Vernon Gholston, Shaquil Barrett. They get pressure on passers on more than 27 percent of opponent pass players and they allow 3.0 yards per carry.
Saquan Barkley ain’t walking through that door Monday night.
Now here’s perhaps the most worrying stat, which Chris Raybon of The Action Network dug up: The Giants have faced five teams with a defense ranked in the top 12 in DVOA, and they’ve averaged 13.4 points in those five games, scoring nine points twice, 13 points once, 16 points once and putting up 20 against *checks notes* the Washington Football Team.
Should I mention that the winds on the east coast are downright blustery tonight? The gameday weather in East Rutherford, NJ expects to be in the high 30s with winds of 10-15 MPH.
Put all of that together, and there is just no way that I can bring myself to bet on the Giants in any way, shape or form, not when Daniel Jones enjoys turning the ball over as much as he does. So even though Bucs (-12.5) is probably the right price, that’s the side that I’ll be on.
More interesting, however, is the Giants team total of 16.5. They’ve broken 16 points against good defenses just once, and the Bucs are the best defense in the NFL.
The Buccaneers ML (-670) is currently backed by 95% of ML bets and 97% of ML handle. The Buccaneers spread (-12.5) is currently backed by 89% of spread bets and 90% of spread handle. The public is on Over 45.5 points with 75% of O/U bets and 65% of O/U handle.