We’ve made it to the end of the road and with the Dodgers or Rays just four wins away from a championship, it’s time to set the table with the 2020 World Series Odds.
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-200 ML) are the odds-on favorites to defeat the Tampa Bay Rays (+160 ML) to win the 2020 MLB World Series on BetRivers.com.
Game 1 of the 2020 World Series takes place at 8:09 p.m. ET on Tuesday, October 20. The early money is backing Rays ML with 70% of the ML handle, but 64% of the spread handle is on Dodgers -1. Over 8 runs is currently backed by 54% of the O/U handle.
David Tuchman is here to break down the 2020 World Series odds and detail what trends he is following.
2020 World Series Odds
When it comes to baseball, I go to my baseball guy. He’s the guy who told me to bet UNDER 59 wins Baltimore Orioles in 2019. He had me betting UNDER 25.5 wins Pittsburgh Pirates. Two of my most profitable sports bet I’ve ever made. So, thanks baseball guy.
He’s the guy who told me the Dodgers would still beat the Braves even when they were down 3 – 1 (in fairness, he did originally think the Dodgers would win in 6, so he’s not perfect) BUT. He’s good. Real good.
Let’s turn our attention to the World Series. It’s a tough, weird series. It’s the first World Series ever played in a neutral park. It’s not really a pitchers park but it’s a deep park which could favor LA.
The Rays have had two extra days rest and have set up their rotation exactly how they want it. Glasnow, Snell, Morton, and the Yarbrough, then it rolls over for their top three again. This sets Charlie Morton up for Game 7 and he’s the only pitcher in baseball history to win 2 Game 7s in one season in the playoffs – that was back in 2017.
The Dodgers are trying to get their rotation in order. Kershaw should pitch game 1, but his issues in the playoffs are well chronicled. As usual, he’s been up and down in the playoffs and missed his last start due to back spasms. Game 2 is either Walker Buehler on short rest or a bullpen. If Roberts goes bullpen he gets Buehler on regular rest in Game 3 and Game 7 but Julio Urias once in Game 4. If he goes Buehler on short rest he must go two times on short rest, but Urias would pitch Games 3 and 7.
Very tough call.
It’ll be interesting to see which direction they go.
The Dodgers are heavy favorites but the Rays are really good. The Dodgers have gone to the World Series three of the past years and they are the first team to do this since the Yankees did it from 2000 – 2003. The last time a team went to three World Series in four years and didn’t win at least one was the 1910 Cubs. The Dodgers lost in 2017 and 2019.
So history says they’ll win?
Unfortunately, betting doesn’t work that way. We do not subscribe to the “they’re due theory” … anyone remembers the Buffalo Bills four straight Super Bowl appearances? Anyone remember my first trip to a casino where my best friend, Matt, decided the roulette ball (the pill) couldn’t possibly fall on red AGAIN. It did.
You’re not going to love this answer, but I could really see either team winning. They’re both really good. My gut tells me the Dodgers find a way to get it done. That said, does -200 represent value? What I might do is bet on the Rays in game 1 and then get much better odds to bet on the Dodgers to win the Series.
Where I think you might be able to have some fun and find a bit of value is betting on the MVP. If you think the Rays will win, take a look at Brandon Lowe to win MVP at +2800. If it’s the Dodgers, the MVP will likely be Betts, Bellinger, or Seager (+800, +1200, +1200) If you’re bullish on the Dodgers, this might be the way to play it. Because of the way, their pitching is going to lineup, it’s more likely a position player wins the MVP. And for the same investment, you can make a lot more money.
If you want a long shot, Justin Turner at +2500 is pretty juicy.
2020 World Series Schedule:
Game 1: Tuesday, Oct. 20. 8:00 p.m ET. FOX. Game 1 Odds
Game 2: Wednesday, Oct. 21. 8:10 p.m. FOX
Game 3: Friday, Oct. 23. 8:00 p.m. FOX
Game 4: Saturday, Oct. 24. 8:10 p.m. FOX
Game 5: Sunday, Oct. 25. 8:10 p.m. FOX
Game 6: Tuesday, Oct. 27. 8:10 p.m. FOX
Game 7: Wednesday, Oct. 28. 8:10 p.m. FOX
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