Week 1 Monday Night Football Odds: Analysis on Steelers-Giants, Broncos-Titans doubleheader
Week 1 of the 2020 NFL regular-season comes to a close with a Monday Night Football doubleheader featuring Steelers (-240 ML) at Giants (+195) and Titans (-180 ML) at Broncos (+145 ML). BetRivers.com is your destination for all Week 1 Monday Night Football odds, props and live betting options.
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Rob Dauster is here to break down the Week 1 Monday Night Football odds and details which bets are worth a look.
WEEK 1 MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL ODDS: STEELERS at GIANTS
- 7:10 p.m. ET on ESPN
- MONEYLINE: Steelers (-240), Giants (+195)
- SPREAD: Steelers -5.5 (-110), Giants +5.5 (-110)
- OVER/UNDER: 45 points (-110/-110)
- IMPLIED SCORE: Steelers 25.5, Giants 19.5
The Steelers 8-8 finish last season masked what was, frankly, and incredible coaching performance from Mike Tomlin. He went 8-6 with a roster that was led by quarterbacks Mason Rudolph and Devlin Hodges while losing star running back James Conner after 10 games.
Well, Conner is healthy. Ben Roethlisberger is back. And there are enough weapons up and down the roster — from Juju Smith-Schuster and promising second-year receiver Diontae Johnson to Eric Ebron and Chase Claypool — that the Giants defense, which ranked 28th DVOA last season, is in a tough spot.
While the Steeler offense is going to look much more like the team that we are used to seeing in Pittsburgh, their defense will look basically exactly the same as the one that finished fifth in the NFL in points-per-game last season. They led the league in turnovers forced, and Daniel Jones, in 12 starts, threw 13 picks and lost 10 fumbles. Jones is +123 to throw for Over 244.5 yards on Monday Night.
Saquon Barkley is Saquon Barkley, and players of that caliber can change a game with a couple of runs, and that’s to say nothing of Roethlisberger’s propensity for throwing up duds on the road over recent seasons.
Which player will have more rushing yards, Saquon Barkley (-121) or James Conner (-104)?
But with no fans in the stands, I’m willing to take that risk take the road favorite.
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WEEK 1 MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL ODDS: TITANS at BRONCOS
- 10:20 p.m. ET, ESPN
- MONEYLINE: Titans (-180), Broncos (+145)
- SPREAD: Titans -3 (-114), Broncos +3 (-107)
- OVER/UNDER: 41 points (-110/-110)
- IMPLIED SCORE: Titans 22, Broncos 19
The Week 1 Monday Night Football Odds for this one opened at Denver (-3) and even before Von Miller was ruled out, this line was moving towards the Titans.
Tennessee is just a better team on paper. Ryan Tannehill was a revelation last season, leading the Titans to a 9-4 mark in the games that he started, getting them into the playoffs, and turning Derrick Henry into one of the most productive running backs in the NFL. Throw in the fact that they just added Jadeveon Clowney to their defense, and it’s hard not to like them in this spot.
Because Miller is not the only player that Denver will be missing off of last year’s defense. Stud DB Chris Harris signed with the Chargers and Bradley Chubb is questionable with a knee issue. On the other side of the ball, the Broncos added Melvin Gordon to a backfield that already featured Phillip Lindsay, but Jerry Jeudy was unable to beat out Tim Patrick at wideout, which is relevant considering the fact that Courtland Sutton did not practice on Saturday due to a shoulder sprain.
So the question, it seems, comes down to how much you trust Drew Lock, Denver’s second-year QB. He went 4-1 in five starts last season, including wins over the Chargers, the Lions and the Raiders at home and a 38-24 win at Houston.
His only loss? The Chiefs.
It’s never easy to play in Denver because of the altitude, but not having fans will change that dynamic. I know the line has moved a full touchdown, but I still think the value is on Tennessee here.