UFC 263 Odds

The UFC returns to Pay-Per-View this weekend and BetRivers.com is proud to provide a wide variety of UFC 263 odds, props, and specials so you can have the best sport bets odds and win!

UFC 263 takes place at the Gila River Arena in Phoenix on Saturday, June 12. The UFC 263 early prelims begin at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN, following but the UFC 263 preliminary card at 8 p.m. ET, also on ESPN. The UFC 263 main card begins at 10 p.m. ET on pay-per-view.

The UFC 263 card is headlined by two championship fights and the return of one of the most polarizing fighters in UFC history.  In the main event, middleweight champ Israel Adesanya defends his title for the third time as he faces Marvin Vettori in a rematch of their 2018 bout. In the co-main event, flyweight champion Deiveson Figueiredo meets Brandon Moreno in a rematch of their December title fight which ended in a majority draw. But before the two title fights get going, Stockton bad boy Nate Diaz returns to The Octagon for the first time since November 2019 to face top welterweight contender Leon Edwards in a bout many expect to be “Fight of the Night.”

Troy Machir breaks down the UFC 263 odds, previews the main card, and finds some plus-money bets worth a wager.

Click here for the full list of UFC 263 odds.

UFC 263 SPECIALS:

  • Brandon Moreno or Marvin Vettori to become UFC champion at UFC 263. Was -205. NOW -150!

UFC 263 CARD: SATURDAY, JUNE 12

UFC 263 Main Card: 10:00 p.m, ET on PPV
Israel Adesanya (20-1, -275 ML) vs. Marvin Vettori (17-4-1, +215 ML)
Deiveson Figueiredo (20-1-1, -225 ML) vs. Brandon Moreno (18-5-2, +175 ML)
Leon Edwards (18-3, -560 ML) vs. Nate Diaz (20-12, +385 ML)
Belal Muhammad (18-3, -230 ML) vs. Demian Maia (28-10, +180 ML)
Jamahal Hill (8-0, -315 ML) vs. Paul Craig (14-4-1, +240 ML)

UFC 263 Preliminary Card, 8:00 p.m. ET on ESPN
Drew Dober (23-10, -155 ML) vs. Brad Riddell (9-1, +125 ML)
Eryk Anders (13-5-1, -150 ML) vs. Darren Stewart (12-6-1, +120 ML)
Joanne Calderwood (15-5, -148 ML) vs. Lauren Murphy (14-4, +117 ML)
Movsar Evloev (14-0, -240 ML) vs. Hakeem Dawodu (12-1-1, +188 ML)

UFC 263 Early Prelims, 6:00 p.m. ET on ESPN
Pannie Kianzad (14-5, -205 ML), vs. Alexis Davis (20-10, +162 ML)
Steven Peterson (18-9, -121 ML) vs. Chase Hooper (10-1-1, -106 ML)
Fares Ziam (11-3, -143 ML) vs. Luigi Vendramini (9-1, +115 ML)
Matt Frevola (8-2-1, -250 ML) vs. Terrance McKinney (10-3, +195 ML)
Carlos Felipe (10-1, -175 ML) vs. Jake Collier (12-5, +135 ML)

UFC 263 MAIN CARD PREVIEW

Middleweight Championship: Israel Adesanya (20-1, -275 ML) vs. Marvin Vettori (17-4-1, +215 ML)
Click here for the full list of Israel Adesanya vs. Marvin Vettori fight odds.

The UFC 263 main event is a fascinating fight for several reasons. First and foremost, Adesanya is coming off the first loss of his MMA career, a light heavyweight championship defeat to Jan Blachowicz in March. Adesanya has been the king of the middleweights for almost two years now, but opponents with a size advantage have had good success, including the much bigger Blachowicz, who nullified all of Adesanya’s dynamic striking abilities en route to a unanimous decision victory. Did the loss shake Adesanya’s confidence? Probably not, in combat sports, there is no loss more impactful than the first one. Although Blachowicz had a considerable size advantage, a loss is a loss, the once invincible Adesanya is now very much a mortal. The second reason this is an intriguing matchup is that we’ve seen it before. Adesanya defeated Vettori by split decision in April 2018. But 2018 was a long, long time ago, and Vettori has improved leaps and bounds since then. In fact, “The Italian Dream” is 5-0 since losing to Adesanya, and looked wildly impressive over Kevin Holland in a five-round main event victory in April.

So what does that mean for Saturday night? I expect Vettori to fight with the utmost confidence, and I expect Adesanya to do the same. I think Vettori is an incredibly tough challenge for Adesanya, but I don’t see many scenarios in which he dethrones the champion. Sure, Adesanya is no longer thought to be impenetrable, but we have to remember that his only loss came against a freakishly big champion at the next weight class up. Adesanya at -250 ML isn’t a great number for me, and while I don’t consider it “free money,” it’s mighty close. I’m tempted to take a flier on Adesanya to win by finish (+150), but Vettori has just three losses on his resume, and all three were by decision.

The Pick: Israel Adesanya

Flyweight Championship: Deiveson Figueiredo (20-1-1, -225 ML) vs. Brandon Moreno (18-5-2, +175 ML)
Click here for the full list of Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Brandon Moreno fight odds.

Very few people gave Brandon Moreno a chance when he stepped inside The Octagon at UFC 256 to face juggernaut flyweight champ Deiveson Figueiredo. While the fight ended in a majority draw, many pundits believed Moreno was worthy of the win. Perhaps Figueiredo underestimated the relative newcomer, and perhaps Moreno is simply better than we thought. But I will continue to ride with Figueiredo until he’s beaten soundly because his striking is far too destructive to bet against. Seven of his nine UFC victories have come via stoppage, and although three were via submission, he uses his power punches to set up his ground game, and continues to hammer his opponent on the mat until they have to give up their neck out of desperation.

The Pick: Deiveson Figueiredo

Welterweight: Leon Edwards (18-3, -560 ML) vs. Nate Diaz (20-12, +400 ML)
Click here for the full list Leon Edwards vs. Nate Diaz fight odds.

Nate Diaz is one of the most wildly popular UFC fighters of the last decade, due in large part to his brash behavior, incredible swagger, and penchant for going to war every single time he steps inside The Octagon. If Diaz’s trash talk doesn’t do it for you, his other-worldly jiu-jitsu and dirty boxing should. Nate Diaz would fight a cardboard box if you told him the cardboard box was running its mouth. But don’t get fooled here. Diaz hasn’t fought in almost three years, and the man on the other side of the cage, Leon Edwards, is the best welterweight in the world who has yet to fight for the title. Edwards had won eight straight before an accidental eye poke resulted in a No Contest against Belal Muhammad in March. There’s a reason Edwards is the strongest favorite on the card. But is there value on Edwards at such a big number? Probably not. The public is on Edwards, but only with 57% of the handle. I’m picking Edward to win but passing on any ML bets. Instead, I’m looking at the fight to go the distance (+115) and Over 4.5 Rounds (+100). Expect this fight to be a long one. Edwards to win & Over 3.5 rounds is currently +105, while Diaz to win & Over 3.5 rounds is currently +700. Those are the bets I would look at.

The Pick: Leon Edwards

Welterweight: Belal Muhammad (18-3, -230 ML) vs. Demian Maia (28-10, +180 ML)
This should be an easy pick here, with Muhammad being in the prime of his career while Maia is enjoying the twilight of his career. But Maia isn’t just good at Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu. He’s arguably the best BJJ practitioner without the “Gracie” surname to ever fight in The Octagon. Muhammad is the pick here, but I’m not going overboard on units. 

The Pick: Belal Muhammad

UFC 263 Main Card Predictions

Israel Adesanya (-275 ML) over Marvin Vettori
Deiveson Figueiredo (-225 ML) over Brandon Moreno
Leon Edwards (-560 ML) over Nate Diaz
Belal Muhammad (-230 ML) over Demian Maia
Jamahal Hill (-315 ML) over Paul Craig

UFC 263 Notable Preliminary Fights

Pannie Kianzad (14-5, -205 ML), vs. Alexis Davis (20-10, +162 ML)
Kianzad’s UFC tenure got off to an auspicious 1-2 start, but “Bonzai” has looked great in three victories since. She throws heavy leather but is as technical as she is ferocious. You won’t find many veterans with more experience than Davis, who fought Ronda Rousey for the women’s bantamweight title way back in 2014. Although she’s a game competitor and has excellent submission skills, she’s dropped 3 of her last four against talent comparable to Kianzad.

The Pick: Panzie Kianzad

Joanne Calderwood (15-5, -148 ML) vs. Lauren Murphy (14-4, +117 ML)
I’m not going to talk you off the ledge if you’re backing Murphy here. After all, she’s won four in a row, including a rear-naked choke victory at UFC 254 in October. I’m betting on Calderwood to use her excellent footwork and muay thai skills to keep Murphy at bay. I believe Calderwood is the more talented fighter, and will be able to keep the fight standing. Three of Calderwood’s five losses have come via submission.

The Pick: Joanne Calderwood

Movsar Evloev (14-0, -240 ML) vs. Hakeem Dawodu (12-1-1, +188 ML)
Styles make fights, and the styles in this preliminary bout should make for one of the most entertaining fights on the card. Undefeated Russian grappling expert Movsar Evloev wants to close the distance, grab ahold of his opponent, and do damage from a position of power. The once-beaten Dawodu on the other hand, wants to keep his distance, use his excellent reach and hunt for a highlight-reel knockout. Which style will play out? It’s not always wise to bet against an undefeated Russian grappling expert, but I’ve been on the Dawodu hype train for some time now and I think he will be able to resist enough of Evloev’s attempts to get the fight to the mat to emerge victoriously.

The Pick: Hakeem Dawodu

UFC 263 Preliminary Card Predictions

Drew Dober (-155 ML) over Brad Riddell
Eryk Anders (-150 ML) vs. Darren Stewart
Joanne Calderwood (-148 ML) vs. Lauren Murphy
Hakeem Dawodu (+188 ML) over Movsar Evloev
Pannie Kianzad (-205 ML) over Alexis Davis
Terrance McKinney (+195 ML) over Matt Frevola
Chase Hooper (-106 ML) over Steven Peterson
Fares Ziam (-143 ML) over Luigi Vendramini
Jake Collier (+135 ML) over Carlos Felipe