SEC Tournament Odds: Picks and Predictions
The SEC has had something of a roller-coaster season, as there have been five or six teams that, at some point in time, were considered to be the best team in the league, so you can only imagine that the SEC Tournament odds provide a bunch of options to win big. BetRivers.com has a wide variety of SEC Tournament odds, game lines, teasers, props and futures.
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We all thought it was going to be Kentucky at the start of the season, but that obviously did not come to fruition. Tennessee looked to be the favorite for a while, but they took a nosedive midway through the year and have yet to really recover. Missouri was promising for a while, and they landed a win over Illinois, but the Tigers have since regressed. For much of the conference play, it has been clear that Alabama is the best team in the league, but they have had their struggles of late as well. Now, it looks like the most dangerous team in the conference heading into March is the same Arkansas team that lost to LSU and Alabama by 100 points back in mid-January.
There’s something to be said for unpredictability, I guess.
Anyway, buckle up for what should assuredly be a wild conference tournament ride.
TOURNAMENT PREVIEWS: ACC | Big East | Big Ten | Big 12 | Pac-12
Click here for the full list of SEC Tournament odds. The SEC Tournament takes place from Wednesday, March 10 until Sunday, March 14, with the championship game taking place at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday. The SEC Tournament will be broadcast on the SEC Network and ESPN. The first round, second round and quarterfinals will be broadcast on the SEC Network and streaming on Watch ESPN App. The semifinals and championship game will be broadcast on ESPN.
SEC TOURNAMENT ODDS
- #1 Alabama (+220)
- #2 Arkansas (+320)
- #3 LSU (+500)
- #4 Tennessee (+525)
- #5 Florida (+575)
- #7 Missouri (+600)
- #8 Kentucky (+1500)
- #6 Ole Miss (+4000)
- #9 Mississippi State (+6000)
- #11 South Carolina (+20000)
- #10 Georgia (+20000)
- #13 Texas A&M (+40000)
- #12 Vanderbilt (+50000)
SEC TOURNAMENT ODDS: Betting Trends
Top-seeded Alabama is the odds-on favorite to win the 2021 SEC Tournament, and is backed by 50% of all SEC Tournament bets and 32% of SEC Tournament handle. No. 8 seed Kentucky won’t be in the NCAA Tournament unless they win the SEC Tournament, but the public is backing the Wildcats with the second-most SEC Tournament bets (13.8%) and the second-most SEC Tournament handle (28.3%). No. 2 seed Arkansas is backed by the third most SEC Tournament bets (11.1%) and third-most SEC Tournament handle (18.3%).
THE FAVORITE: Arkansas
Alabama is the No. 1 seed and the odds-on favorite to win this thing, but I think that my favorite bet here is actually the Hogs, and that’s for a number of reasons. For starters, they are playing the best basketball in the conference over the course of the last month. They have won 11 of their last 12 games, and 11 straight against SEC competition. They are 18-2 on the season when they have Justin Smith healthy, who has just been the ultimate difference-maker for them when he can play as a small-ball five. Moses Moody has been sensational down the stretch, and as most Muss Bus teams do, they have three or four guys on the floor that can beat you on any given possession.
But the biggest thing is the way the bracket breaks down. To get to the title game, Arkansas will have to beat two of these teams: LSU, Ole Miss, Missouri, Georgia and South Carolina. All the teams that are really worrying are on the other side of the bracket. That matters.
THE CASE FOR: Tennessee
I know, I have Orange blinders on when it comes to the Vols, but the truth is that this may be the most talented team in the conference. Keon Johnson and Jaden Springer are lottery picks. Yves Pons is a pro. John Fulkerson is an all-SEC player if he can figure it out. There are a ton of pieces on this roster, but they just have not found a way to put it all together over the course of the last two months.
And the most likely outcome is that that will continue. But after seeing the Vols start to figure some things out against Florida, I don’t think it’s crazy to say that there is some value on them at (+525). It’s not going to feel comfortable, but this is the team with the highest ceiling in the league this side of Alabama.
THE CASE AGAINST: Alabama
The Crimson Tide struggled down the stretch of the regular season, especially on the road. The way I see it, there are two explanations for this:
- The Tide got a little bit bored. They won the SEC in a wash. There is only so much motivation that a team can have when they are playing for seeding and not much else, and some of their struggles were a direct result of this. I get it. It’s a trying year, and sometimes it’s hard to overcome the mental hurdle of just being worn down. That, in theory, should go away in the postseason.
- Alabama was figured out. It’s well known that the Tide only want to shoot threes and layups. When you built your program around not shooting a certain kind of shot, defenses can tailor the way they play to not defending that shot. So when you don’t shoot midrange shots, they can sell out to run you off the three-point line and then send help directly to the rim.
If Alabama’s struggles were the former, then they are a good value at (+220). If it was the latter, I’d be a little bit more concerned.
THE SLEEPER: Kentucky
Maybe I’m crazy, but I would love nothing more than to see John Calipari make a run through the SEC tournament and earn the league’s automatic bid.
I’m not sure they actually have the talent to do it, but at 30:1 odds, I’ll come along for the ride.
SEC TOURNAMENT SCHEDULE
First Round (Wed. 3/10)
7pm: #12 Vanderbilt vs. #13 Texas A&M
Second Round (Thurs. 3/11)
12pm: #8 Kentucky vs. #9 Mississippi State
2:30pm: #5 Florida vs. 12/13 Winner
7pm: #7 Missouri vs. #10 Georgia
9:30pm: #6 Ole Miss s. #11 South Carolina
Quarterfinals (Fri. 3/12)
12pm: #1 Alabama vs. 8/9 Winner
2:30pm: #4 Tennessee vs. 5/12/13 Winner
7pm: #2 Arkansas vs. 7/10 Winner
9:30pm: #3 LSU vs. 6/11 Winner
Semifinals (Sat. 3/13)
1pm: QF1 Winner vs. QF2 Winner
3:30pm: QF3 Winner vs. QF4 Winner
Championship (Sun. 3/14)
1pm: SF1 Winner vs. SF2 Winner