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The Golden Knights are currently the odds-on favorite to win the Stanley Cup (+105), while the Canadiens have the longest odds of the four remaining teams (+1100). But Montreal has been the hottest team in the playoffs, and has the hottest goalie of the playoffs in Carey Price. The Golden Knights-Canadiens semifinal odds are heavily favoring Vegas, but given how Montreal has played thus far, there is excellent value on the Habs.
Longtime broadcaster and gambling expert David Tuchman is here to detail the Golden Knights-Canadiens Semifinal odds and break down the picks and predictions he’s riding with until a team hoists the Stanley Cup.
Golden Knights-Canadiens Semifinal Odds
#2 VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS (8-5) vs. #3 MONTREAL CANADIENS (8-3)
Odds to win Stanley Cup: Golden Knights +105, Canadiens +1100
Odds to Advance: Golden Knights -455, Canadiens +350
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GOLDEN KNIGHTS-CANADIENS SERIES SCORE ODDS
4 games: Golden Knights +375, Canadiens +3500
5 games: Golden Knights +275, Canadiens +1700
6 games: Golden Knights +385, Canadiens +1000
7 games: Golden Knights +525, Canadiens +900
GOLDEN KNIGHTS-CANADIENS GAME 1 ODDS
DATE/TIME: Monday, June 14. 9 p.m. ET (NBCSN)
MONEYLINE: Golden Knights -265 ML, Canadiens +220 ML
PUCKLINE: Golden Knights -1.5 (+110), Canadiens +1.5 (-132)
OVER/UNDER: 5.5 (+114/-136)
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One of the most storied franchises vs an expansion team. This should be and is a true David vs Goliath battle. Except, it’s the expansion team that’s Goliath in this case.
Montreal has hoisted the Stanley Cup more times than any other team. But that was a long, long time ago, and the Habs barely made the playoffs this season. In fact, they wouldn’t have made the playoffs in any other division.
As for Vegas, the Golden Knights are making their 3rd trip to the semifinals in four years. . They tied Colorado for the most points in the regular season and just disposed of the Avalanche in six games. They have a great defenseman in Alex Pietrangelo, their goaltender, Marc-Andre Fleury, gets as hot as the sun at times, and their first two lines are so solid.
So, this is just a formality, right? A cakewalk for the Knights, huh?
Not so fast. Vegas has traditionally played up or down to their competition. The Minnesota Wild took them to seven games and they lost last year in the bubble to Dallas who didn’t even make the playoffs this season. Now, I’m not going to tell you Vegas isn’t a good team, let’s even call them a great team. I am going to say, they’re beatable. I have questions about their depth and at these prices, I shouldn’t have any questions.
If you’re betting on any team and you’re laying -455, you should feel supremely confident and I just don’t.
As for Montreal, this is a team that lost their best player (Brendan Gallagher) to injury and his loss was apparent on the ice. Gallagher returned for the playoffs and Montreal is playing some good hockey right now. They have a couple of youngsters with speed to burn in Nick Suzuki and Cole Caulfield; Suzuki interestingly enough was drafted by Vegas and traded to Montreal.
There’s no doubt Vegas is a better team. They should win this series, but the line is pure insanity.
At these prices, my money is on Montreal. As always, I’ll look for opportunities should they arise. For example, it wouldn’t shock me at all if the Canadians stole game 1 and if they did, I could bet on Vegas afterwards as a hedge.
GOLDEN KNIGHTS-CANADIENS SEMIFINALS SCHEDULE
Game 1: Canadiens at Golden Knights. Monday, June 14. 9 p.m. ET (NBCSN)
Game 2: Canadiens at Golden Knights. Wednesday, June 16. 9 p.m. ET (NBCSN)
Game 3: Golden Knights at Canadiens. Friday, June 18. 8 p.m. ET (USA)
Game 4: Golden Knights at Canadiens. Sunday, June 20. 8 p.m. ET (NBCSN)
Game 5*: Canadiens at Golden Knights. Tuesday, June 22. 9 p.m. ET (NBCSN)
Game 6*: Golden Knights at Canadiens. Thursday, June 24, 8 p.m. ET (USA)
Game 7*: Canadiens at Golden Knights. Saturday, June 26. 8 p.m. ET (NBCSN)