NBA Play-In Tournament Odds

The Western Conference Play-In Tournament is set to begin on Wednesday, May 19 and is proud to provide a wide variety of NBA Play-In Tournament odds, props, teasers and futures.

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Wednesday gives us Golden Goose of the NBA’s play-in tournament: LeBron James, Anthony Davis and the Lakers taking on the Golden State Warriors and Stephen Curry, who had one of the most incredible individual seasons in recent NBA history. The winner of No. 7 Lakers vs. No. 8 Warriors will advance to the NBA Playoffs as the No. 7 seed in the Western Conference Playoffs and will face the No. 2 seed Phoenix Suns. The loser will advance to face the winner of No. 9 Grizzlies vs. No. 10 Spurs, with the winner advancing to the No. 8 seed in the Western Conference Playoffs against the No. 1 seed Utah Jazz.

The Spurs play the Grizzlies in the 9-10 matchup on Wednesday, but does anyone actually care?

All eyes are going to be on the nightcap.

Longtime basketball writer Rob Dauster, the co-founder of The Field of 68 Podcast Network is here to break down the NBA Play-In Tournament Odds and preview Lakers vs. Warriors and Grizzlies vs. Spurs.

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#8 GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS (39-33) at LOS ANGELES LAKERS (42-30), 10 p.m. ET
Lakers -230 ML, Warriors +188 ML
SPREAD: Lakers -5.5
OVER/UNDER: 218 (-113/-108)
Click here for the full list of Lakers-Warriors Play-In Odds.

The Lakers certainly should be the favorites to win this game.

Hell, I think you can make the argument that they are one of the favorites to win the title. Assuming they find a way to win one of their next two games to get into the Playoffs, do you think they’re really all that scared of the Phoenix Suns or the Utah Jazz? One of those teams is led by Chris Paul. The other is the Utah Jazz. There’s not a lot of titles between the two.

What worries me here is that LeBron appeared to tweak his ankle in the fourth quarter of Sunday night’s win over the Pelicans. I don’t know if that was a real tweak or a LeBron-being-LeBron tweak, but it is enough to make me question whether there is value on the Lakers after the line was bet down two points.

And, at this point, I think there is?

For starters, I think that the Lakers have a guy that can slow down Steph as well as anyone. In 16 games since 2013, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has held Curry to 20.1 points per game on 41 percent shooting from the floor and 32.6 percent shooting from three. He can chase Steph around screens, face-guard him and trust that he’s either going to get a double sent his way or have help waiting at the rim. Remember, Frank Vogel dispatched of the Russell Westbrook-James Harden Rockets because of his willingness to ignore Russ and double Harden. I don’t think he’ll have an issue ignoring literally everyone else on Golden State to slow down Steph.

The other part of this matchup that’s interesting is at the five. Golden State’s best lineups are still with Draymond Green at the five, but is that doable against a team that can play LeBron at the four and Anthony Davis at the five? Moreover, if Vogel opts to play Andre Drummond for 25 minutes, does that mean that Kevon Looney is going to have to play, or will he risk having, say, Kent Bazemore or Juan Toscano-Anderson on one of Drummond or Davis?

The x-factor here is probably going to be Andrew Wiggins. How much of the scoring load will he pick up? Can he do a job on LeBron and slow the GOAT down?

That’s a lot of ifs, ands or buts for Golden State.

And while I fully acknowledge that betting against Golden State is essentially betting on Steph not to go for 50, I think that’s the side that I’d want to be on.

I also think the under is in play here, as both teams can really guard and the Lakers are going to try and take the air out of the ball.

#10 SAN ANTONIO SPURS (33-39) at #9 MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES (38-34), 7:30 p.m. ET
MONEYLINE: Grizzlies -177 ML, Spurs +145 ML
SPREAD: Grizzlies -4
OVER/UNDER: 223.5 (-108/-113)
Click here for the full list of Grizzlies-Spurs Play-In Odds.

I just really don’t see any reason to be inspired by the Spurs right now. They lost Derrick White to an ankle injury, they lost 10 of their last 12 games, and the last we saw of Tim Duncan, he was getting inducted into the Hall of Fame.

The Grizzlies, on the other hand, have one of the more exciting young cores in the NBA.

Ja Morant will be looking to step into a starring role. Jaren Jackson Jr. is really good when he is healthy, and they have some bodies — Dillon Brooks, Kyle Anderson — to throw at DeMar DeRozan.

I think Memphis cruises.