EPL Matchday 7 takes place this weekend, featuring a showdown between two of the Big 5 and the reigning EPL champions Liverpool take on West Ham. BetRivers.com is your home for EPL Matchday 7 odds, props, and live streaming.
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Rob Dauster breaks down the odds for two of Saturday’s more notable games: Liverpool vs. West Ham and Arsenal vs. Manchester United.
LIVERPOOL vs. WEST HAM, Saturday 1:30 p.m.
- MONEYLINE: Liverpool (-278), West Ham (+750), Tie (+430)
- OVER/UNDER: Over 3.5 (+107), Under 3.5 (-132)
Click here for the full list of Liverpool-West Ham odds.
Liverpool is sitting top of the table entering Week 7 of the Premier League season, but the Reds have yet to really hit their stride as an injury crisis in their defense continues to worsen.
We all saw what happened to Virgil Van Dijk in the Merseyside Derby, but now it appears as if Joel Matip and Fabinho, a DM turned CB, will be unavailable for Jurgen Klopp’s side. This leaves one senior central defender — Joe Gomez — and one 19-year old academy product — Rhys Williams — as the potential starters against a West Ham side that has not lost in four straight, including draws against Tottenham and Manchester City.
Throw in the fact that both Thiago and Naby Keita also missed Tuesday’s Champions League match, and there should be quite a bit of concern over this Liverpool defense.
What Liverpool will not need to worry about is their attacking threat. Roberto Firmino, Sadio Mane, and Mo Salah all were subs against Danish champions FC Midtjylland, so they should be fit and firing against a West Ham side that is not exactly known as the Iron Curtain.
So I am expecting goals here.
Which is what makes over 3.5 at (+107) so intriguing. I also think that there is a bit of value on Liverpool given that the line has moved slightly towards the Hammers. It opened at Liverpool (-291) to win and is down to (-278). Parlaying a Liverpool win and the over pays out at (+155), and that seems like a tasty price for some Saturday afternoon footy.
ARSENAL vs. MANCHESTER UNITED, Sun. 11:30 a.m.
- MONEYLINE: Manchester United (+105), Arsenal (+250), Tie (+270)
- OVER/UNDER: Over 2.5 (-134), Under 2.5 (+1070
Click here for the full list of Arsenal-Manchester United odds.
The Gunners won their first two Premier League matches of the season, but have lost three of their last four with just a home win over Sheffield to show for their efforts.
United, on the other hand, have turned things against after the embarrassing 6-1 defeat at the hands of Tottenham in Old Trafford. Last weekend’s hideous draw against Chelsea aside, United have scored 11 goals in their last three matches, including a 5-0 win over Leipzig and a 2-1 away to PSG.
That’s not ideal if you are Arsenal given the number of injuries to their defense. Granit Xhaka, a mediocre midfielder by trade, has started as part of a back three in the last two matches due to injuries to centerbacks David Luiz, Gabriel, and Rob Holding. This will be something to monitor on Saturday, as information starts to leak out about their availability.
I tend to like United here. Arsenal has not won at Old Trafford in the league since 2006, and getting a United team that seems to be rounding into form at plus-money is a good price even without Anthony Martial; Marcus Rashford is coming off of a hat trick against Leipzig.
The one concern I do have is that I expect Arsenal to sit back and try to play on the counter, which is something that they have been relatively effective at and something that Spurs did to slice United open.
It’s not enough to scare me off of United even if Arsenal gets some central defenders back.
EPL Matchday 7 Odds: Premier League Schedule
Sat. 10/31. 8:30 a.m.: Manchester City (-335) at Sheffield United (+900). Tie (+480)
Sat. 10/31. 11:00 a.m.: Chelsea (-186) at Burnley (+525). Tie (+330)
Sat. 10/31. 1:30 p.m.: West Ham (+700) at Liverpool (-265). Tie (+430)
Sun. 11/1: Southampton (+175) at Aston Villa (+148). Tie (+260)
Sun. 11/1: Everton (+110) at Newcastle (+265). Tie (+245)
Sun. 11/1: Arsenal (+250) at Manchester United (+105). Tie (+270)
Sun. 11/1: Brighton (+440) at Tottenham (-162). Tie (+320)
Mon. 11/2: West Bromwich (+200) at Fulham (+145). Tie (+230)
Mon. 11/2: Leicester City (+165) at Leeds United (+155). Tie (+260)