Week 9 of Thursday Night Football is here, and it’s time to take a look at the Colts-Jets betting odds. The Jets pulled off one of the biggest betting upsets of the season, defeating the Bengals 34-31, despite over 90% of the money and the wagers on Cincinnati. The Colts enter Thursday night having dropped an overtime thriller to the Titans, snapping a two-game win streak in the process.
Longtime Poker broadcaster and sports bettor David Tuchman is here to preview the Colts-Jets betting odds for Week 9 and drops knowledge on the best bets worth a wager.
Monday Night Football went our way as the Kansas City Chiefs’ offense continues to be MIA. We had a 3-0 evening bringing us to 39-32 on the season.
Week nine opens with the surging New York Jets led by phenom, Mike White at QB. Maybe I’m overstating this just a tad. The only part of that sentence that’s factually correct is that it is indeed week nine and the Jets do play.
COLTS-JETS BETTING ODDS: WEEK 9
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (3-5) vs. NEW YORK JETS (2-5)
DATE/TIME: Thursday, November 4, 8:20 p.m.
CHANNEL: NFL Network/FOX
MONEYLINE: Colts -480 ML, Jets +395 ML
SPREAD: Colts -10
Let’s first take a look at the total.
The New York Jets defense has been awful. Much of the focus this season has been on rookie QB, Zach Wilson and the offense, but the defense has been continuously putting the team behind the eight ball. Teams have averaged over 31 points against the NY Jets and much of that has been in the first half of games. Not surprisingly, the NY Jets games have gone OVER the total four straight weeks.
The Colts have averaged 28.8 points over the last five games.
It doesn’t take a genius to realize the most likely outcome is the Indianapolis offense scoring a bunch of points. So, the question becomes, can Mike White and the NY Jets offense put up 17 points? If they can, the total is likely to go over 45.5
For the record, Indianapolis has only prevented a team from scoring at least 17 once this season and that was against Houston with Davis Mills under center. I’m not sure that counts.
The NY Jets have weapons and with Mike White at the helm, I do think they’ll move the ball and put up points whether it be to stay in the game or to play catchup. Indianapolis games have gone OVER the total in four of their last five.
No need to fight the trend.
The PICK: OVER 45
As for the game, if I was picking in an office pool, I think I’m betting on the NY Jets, but since I’m 0-3 betting on the Jets this season, I’m no longer allowed to bet on them. I made a friend promise me that he’d punch me in the face if I bet on the Jets again this season.
My Prediction: Indianapolis 31 NY Jets 21
A few props we really like in this one.
Michael Carter OVER 39.5 receiving yards
Carter had 47 receptions for a million yards last week. (actually 9-95), but you get my point. The week before he caught 8 for 67. Over the last two weeks, Carter has 23 targets. Do I think this is sustainable? No. Do I care? Also no. The NY Jets found something that worked – they aren’t going to change it.
Michael Pittman OVER 5.5 receptions
The breakout year is official. Michael Pittman had 15 targets, and 10 receptions last week. He’s had OVER 5.5 receptions in five of his last seven games. Per PFF, the Jets rank 26th in coverage and have nothing resembling a shutdown corner. In addition, we’re getting a nice price on what I think is the most likely outcome.