2021 NBA Finals Game 6 picks, predictions and betting preview for Milwaukee vs. Phoenix
The 2021 NBA Finals Game 6 betting preview is here!
And my, what a difference a week makes. Seven days ago, we were, in this space, ready to celebrate touting the Suns to win it all at +1800 entering the playoffs and betting the Suns to win in six games or less heading into the Finals.
Three games later, and Giannis has officially entered the pantheon of Greek Gods, Jrue Holiday and Khris Middleton have played the best basketball of their lives and the Phoenix Suns find themselves on the ropes, needing to go into Milwaukee and get a win if they want a shot at winning the title.
Can the Bucks close things out at home on Tuesday night?
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Let’s take a look at where the value lies for 2021 NBA Finals Game 6.
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2021 NBA Finals Game 6 Betting Preview
PHOENIX SUNS (2-3) at MILWAUKEE BUCKS (3-2), 9 p.m. ET
MONEYLINE: Bucks -200 ML, Suns +160 ML
SPREAD: Bucks -4.5
OVER/UNDER: 222 (-109/-112)
Click here for the full list of Bucks-Suns Game 6 odds.
For my money, the biggest problem currently facing the Suns is the fact that Chris Paul has been no where near peak Chris Paul over the course of the last three games.
The Suns offense was so effective the first two games because they were able to use both Paul and Devin Booker as ball-screen threats. Paul, specifically, was so dangerous because of his ability to pass out of those actions, to find the shooters the Suns have on the perimeter spacing the floor. And while I know he finished with 21 points and 11 assists in Saturday night’s loss to the Bucks, Paul was nowhere near himself. Part of the reason that the Suns blew a 16 point first quarter lead and found themselves down by as many as 14 points in the second half was due to Booker having to carry the load himself. He just didn’t have the legs for it.
Now, not all of that can be put on Paul. Jrue Holiday is one of the NBA’s elite perimeter defenders for a reason, and he played a major, major role in the issues that Paul had.
And, if we’re going to be honest with ourselves, the Suns scored 119 points on Saturday night.
The issue wasn’t anything that they were doing on the offensive end of the floor.
The issue was the simple fact that they could not get stops. Middleton has been unbelievable in these finals, fully embracing the role of go-to guy and big time shot-maker. And Holiday? He’s been a cheat code, an absolute stalwart on the defensive end that seems to make every right play offensively. Pat Connaughton hasn’t missed a shot in 2021. Bobby Portis looks like the All-American we saw at Arkansas half a decade ago.
He had a quiet night Saturday and finished with 32 points, nine boards and six assists on 14-for-23 shooting, a line that included one of the best dunks of the series.
He’s been a titan, and I just don’t think that the Suns have an answer for the Bucks when they’re playing like this and CP3 is playing like he’s been playing.
The NBA season officially comes to an end on Tuesday night, and I’ll be on the Bucks to cover the five in the process.
BUCKS-SUNS GAME 6 STATS & TRENDS
– 7 of the last 9 games between the Suns & Bucks have gone OVER the total points line