2021 NBA Finals Game 4 picks, predictions and betting preview for Milwaukee vs. Phoenix
The 2021 NBA Finals Game 4 betting preview is here!
Game 3 of this year’s NBA Finals was, more or less, what I expected. So before starting to place sport bets online, let us recap what happened:
Khris Middleton and Jrue Holiday combined for 39 points and 15 assists, shooting 50 percent from the floor and hitting eight threes, while P.J. Tucker and Holiday did yeoman’s work on Devin Booker, helping hold him to a 3-of-14 night from the field.
He went Full Giannis, finishing with 41 points, 13 boards and six assists.
Game 4 of the NBA Finals tips off on Wednesday night. Should be jump back on the Buck bandwagon?
Let’s take a look at where the value lies for 2021 NBA Finals Game 4.
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2021 NBA Finals Game 4 Betting Preview
LINE: Milwaukee (-4.5)
Did the Bucks figure out an answer to Phoenix on Sunday night, or was their blowout, Game 3 win simply a result of shooting regressing to the mean?
First, let’s start with Milwaukee. The Bucks seemed to make a conscious decision to focus on pounding the ball to Giannis in the paint. He went to the free throw line 17 times, making 13 of them. He got Deandre Ayton into foul trouble, which limited the only effective interior defender on the Phoenix roster to 24 minutes played. They used Giannis at the five, creating even more space in the paint by adding that extra shooting.
The result was that Milwaukee not only got a dominant Giannis, but their other stars played well, role players (Bobby Portis!) stepped up and, as a team, the Bucks shot 14-for-36 from three.
On the other end of the floor, Phoenix, who had been on fire throughout the series, shot just 9-for-31 from three as Booker continued to struggle to find him rhythm shooting the ball in this series. This wasn’t entirely unexpected. The Bucks are in the finals for a reason, they were coming home in a must-win game and no one is going to shoot 50 percent from three forever, not even an NBA title favorite.
The question we need to ask ourselves is how Phoenix can adjust to what they saw on Wednesday night, and I’m not entirely sure they can, at least not in Milwaukee. Ayton is going to have to stay out of foul trouble, and I’m just not convinced that it’s something he can do against a determined and motivated Giannis. Booker is going to have to shoot the way he did in Game 2 instead of Game 1 and Game 3, and I’m just not sure that Holiday will let him.
I still think Phoenix will win this series, but I like Milwaukee on Wednesday night, and with that in mind, I think that there is value in taking a stab at both Milwaukee winning the series at (+205) and Giannis winning MVP at (+205).
2021 NBA Finals Odds
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